October 3, 2022

Each 4 years, forecasts are made on what number of medals India will win on the Olympics, a observe that may see extensively polarising opinions. World’s main information and expertise firm Gracenote has predicted India will end with 19 medals, 4 of them being gold. Most Indian sports activities officers too are bullish, they too promise a double-digit haul.

Contemplating India received simply a few medals on the final Olympics — one bronze, one silver — the long-haul punt for Tokyo 2020 appears to be like like an enormous leap of religion. Between these two extremes is the place India is anticipated to complete. Higher than final time, however not double digit, appears sensible.

The Indian Categorical takes a take a look at some disciplines and athletes which have carried out persistently on the worldwide stage and could be in with a shot for a Tokyo Video games medal.


Categorical Prediction: 2 medals, if all goes nicely

Gracenote predictions: 8 medals in whole (2 golds, 4 silvers and a couple of bronze medals)

– Gold medals to Elavenil Valarivan in Ladies’s 10m Air rifle and Manu Bhaker/ Saurabh Chaudhary duo in 10m Air Pistol blended occasion

– Silvers for Saurabh Chaudhary and Manu Bhaker in 10m Air Pistol Males’s and Ladies’s particular person occasions, Rahi Sarnobat in Ladies’s 25m Air Rifle and Divyansh Singh Panwar/Elavenil Valarivan in 10m Air Rifle blended occasion.

– Bronze medals for Divyansh Singh Panwar in Males’s 10m Air Rifle and Yashaswini Singh Deswal in Ladies’s 10m Air Pistol occasion.

Not too long ago, the blended group occasion in 10m Air Pistol was introduced as a self-discipline on the Olympics. India is fielding Saurabh Chaudhary and Manu Bhaker, two shooters who’ve dominated the sector since 2019, having received World Cup golds at New Delhi, Beijing, Munich, Rio de Janeiro after which New Delhi once more. Whereas their first 4 gold medals have been received in 2019, it was the 2021 New Delhi gold medal that was their hardest one but.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Manu Bhaker and Saurabh Chaudhary (Supply: ISSF screenshot)

Iranian duo Javad Foroughi and Golnoush Sebghatollahi ran away with a 10-6 lead earlier than Chaudhary and Bhaker reeled them in and at 12-12 shot a ten.7 and 10.5 every to win the group occasion by 0.7. Foroughi had additionally crushed Chaudhary in the identical World Cup within the Males’s 10m Air Pistol occasion — a self-discipline the place India is anticipated to win a medal as nicely.

Don’t low cost Apurvi Chandela in girls’s air-rifle and Rahi Sarnobat if she makes the finals. If Indian pistol has certainly come of age, the less-there, more-thereabouts duo Yashaswini Deswal and Abhishek Verma can leapfrog Bhaker and Chaudhary even.


Categorical Prediction: 1 medal, finest case state of affairs 2

Gracenote prediction: 3 medals (2 golds, 1 bronze)

Gold medals to Bajrang Punia in males’s freestyle wrestling 65 kg class and Vinesh Phogat in girls’s freestyle wrestling 53kg class.

Bronze for Deepak Punia in males’s 86kg freestyle wrestling occasion.

Two names stand out in Indian wrestling as potential medal hopes. Within the 53-kg freestyle wrestling class, Vinesh Phogat is the highest seed on the Tokyo Olympics. In a area that has Sweden’s Sofia Mattson, China’s Pang Qianyu, American Jacarra Winchester and Phogat’s Japanese nemesis Mayu Mukaida, a medal — or the color of it, is determined by so many components.

The draw, the circumstances, preparation – particularly in Covid-19 instances, all play an element in how any given wrestler will carry out on a day. For Phogat, Mukaida is the gold commonplace in her class. The Japanese wrestler has crushed Phogat on three totally different events, however each are solely slated to face one another within the remaining.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Vinesh Phogat and Bajrang Punia (PTI Images/File)

Within the males’s division, Bajrang Punia’s legend might be put to the check in a attempting 65-kg area. Seeded second behind Russia’s Gadhzimurad Rashidov, his greatest opponent, similar to Phogat’s, is a Japanese wrestler. Takuto Otoguro is seeded fifth in Bajrang’s class and has perpetually been a thorn within the aspect of the Haryana wrestler. However barring the Japanese, Punia has a tried and examined observe document towards the remainder of his competitors.

Ravi Dahiya in 57 kg has the Indian fuel tank, and might explode on his day.


Categorical Prediction: 1

Gracenote prediction: 1 medal (Silver)

Silver medal for Mirabai Saikom Chanu in girls’s 49kg class

North Korea’s choice to not be part of these Olympics has benefitted many athletes, however none extra so than weightlifter Mirabai Chanu, who’s nicely in line to win a silver medal. Within the 49-kg class, Chanu’s finest information put her within the fourth spot, behind China’s Hou Zhihui, Ziang Huihua and North Korea’s Ri-Sing Gum. However Korea’s withdrawal, mixed with China solely being relevant to ship one 49-kg weightlifter, implies that Chanu has a transparent path to the silver.

However Chanu has had her justifiable share of damage points, significantly a difficult again downside that has solely just lately been addressed on the approach stage. On her return, on the Asian Championships in April, Chanu broke the clear and jerk world document by lifting 118kgs.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Group India on the Olympic Village (Twitter/@TheHockeyIndia)


Categorical Prediction: None. In case of a miracle, 1

Gracenote prediction: Indian hockey group will come fifth.

For the primary time shortly, the Indian males’s hockey group appears to be like to be in with an opportunity of inserting within the medal classes. Within the FiH Professional League, India positioned fourth, with wins over Belgium, Netherlands, Argentina and Olympic champions Australia.

Since 2018, Graham Reid’s group has misplaced solely six matches in regulation time and all of the losses have been by a margin of a solitary objective. The profitable interval has been attributed to a renewed defensive sport the place a excessive press has been employed with India preferring to aim profitable the ball again in opposition territory.

What is going to work towards the Indians although, is the shortage of match expertise. The pandemic ensured that European international locations managed to play extra aggressive video games within the interval of the pandemic and the consequences of that would translate poorly for India.

In Group A, the lads’s hockey group need to clear the hurdles set by Spain and New Zealand to achieve the quarters. It’s the quarter-final and onwards the place India might want to up their sport, since they may probably face Netherland, Belgium, Germany or Nice Britain at that stage. Within the Rio Olympics, World Champions Belgium had knocked India out on the quarters.

The ladies’s group might show to be the darkish horse since they’ve given constant outcome within the qualification rounds. The group led by Rani Rampal has given constant outcomes on the continental stage, nonetheless it stays to be seen if they’ll ship on the world stage.


Categorical Prediction: 2 medals, however extra probably 1 or none

Gracenote prediction: 5 medals (3 silver and a couple of bronze medals)

Silver medals for Amit Panghal and Mary Kom in males’s and ladies’s flyweight and Lovlina Borgohain in girls’s welterweight.

Bronze medals for Manish Kaushik in males’s light-weight and Pooja Rani in girls’s middleweight.

The smallest boxers within the Indian contingent are the nation’s greatest medal hopes. Amit Panghal on account of his consistency, and Mary Kom on account of her legacy.

Panghal, the top-seeded flyweight, has a gold and silver on the Asian championships and a historic silver on the Worlds in 52kg. The 25-year-old could possibly be anticipated to carry the nation its third Olympic medal. The most important rival is the reigning Olympic and world champion Shakhobidin Zoirov.

Since transferring again to the Olympic class of 52kg, Mary Kom final received gold medals on the India Open and President’s Cup in 2019. She took bronze on the 2019 Worlds, bronze on the Olympic qualifiers, bronze on the Boxam invitation this March, and a silver at Could’s Asian championships. The 38-year-old has misplaced to new names Nazym Kyzaibay, Chang Yuan, Busenaz Cakiroglu and fellow veteran Virginia Fuchs, and has slowed down significantly.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Mary Kom trains at IGI stadium in New Delhi. (Categorical Photograph: Praveen Khanna, File)

Outdoors probabilities belong to Manish Kaushik, Lovlina Borgohain and Vikas Krishan.


Categorical Prediction: None, or possibly 1

Gracenote prediction: 2 medals (1 silver and 1 bronze)

Silver for Deepika Kumari in girls’s particular person occasion

Bronze for Males’s recurve group

The blended group occasion in archery might be held for the primary time, so there’s no historical past to go by. Nevertheless, like in another competitors within the sport, the Koreans are the gold commonplace and the protected cash ought to be on them to reign right here as nicely.

The Indian pairing of Deepika Kumari and Atanu Das did win the gold medal at the newest World Cup, although a number of of the highest nations didn’t ship their groups. If all the things falls into place, one can count on the husband-wife chemistry returning with the nation’s first-ever medal within the sport.

Deepika Kumari is the No.1-ranked archer on the earth as of now, and it stays to be seen if she will be able to use her present type, confidence, expertise and maturity to good use within the girls’s particular person occasion at her third Olympics.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Deepika Kumari and P V Sindhu (File Images)


Categorical Prediction: None or 1

Gracenote prediction: Fourth place for PV Sindhu in girls’s occasion.

P V Sindhu is a powerful gold medal/any medal contender at Tokyo. Besides the identical description might realistically match 5 others competing on the Video games. That is the head of the golden era for badminton’s girls’s singles, even with out Carolina Marin, who some dubbed a transparent favorite.

Sindhu has two enormously troublesome roadblocks in Akane Yamaguchi and Tai Tzu Ying earlier than she earns herself a finals spot.

Thought of one of the best participant in males’s singles at Tokyo, Kento Momota could possibly be B Sai Praneeth’s make-or-break quarterfinal, even earlier than hopes of a medal are entertained.

The doubles pairing of Satwiksairaj Rankireddy-Chirag Shetty must play out of their skins to get out of a troublesome group with high Taipese and Indonesians.

All three males are prime quality gamers however might be agency underdogs in each match they play. A medal might be India’s first in a sport the place males respectfully lag two steps behind girls.


Categorical Prediction: A really hopeful 1

Gracenote prediction: 0 medals

Of the 26 athletes, javelin thrower Neeraj Chopra is the one one who might bag a medal in observe and area. Chopra broke his personal nationwide document in March, and although he has not acquired near 88.07 metres since, what issues is his potential to hit peak type within the remaining. He has the fourth finest throw this 12 months on the earth, however type generally counts for little on the Olympic Video games, as has been seen on this occasion quite a lot of instances.

tokyo olympics 2021, tokyo olympics 2021 medal, tokyo olympics 2021 medal tally, tokyo olympics medal tally 2021, olympics 2021 medal Neeraj Chopra (Reuters Photograph/File)

The pull-out of defending Olympic champion Thomas Roehler and 2019 World Championships silver medallist Magnus Kirt has positively brightened his probabilities. In-form German Johannes Vetter is the favorite to win gold with Chopra and others combating for the silver and bronze.

Talk about thrower Kamalpreet Kaur (66.59m), shot putter Tajinderpal Singh Toor and lengthy jumper Sreeshankar M (8.26m) have set nationwide information this 12 months, however reaching the ultimate in itself might be an achievement.

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